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Apa itu kalender ekonomi?
Kalender ekonomi, juga dikenal sebagai kalender ekonomi Forex atau Kalender FX, adalah alat yang memungkinkan para trader membuat analisis fundamental pasar keuangan berdasarkan berita ekonomi. Artinya – Anda akan dapat melihat peristiwa makroekonomi yang menggerakkan pasar dan membuat keputusan trading Forex berdasarkan data.
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Data apa saja yang termasuk dalam kalender ekonomi?
Kalender ekonomi mencakup informasi tentang peristiwa ekonomi besar, serta berita politik dan pengaruhnya terhadap pasar Forex. Semua peristiwa keuangan ini digunakan sebagai indikator ekonomi.
Kalender peristiwa ekonomi juga menunjukkan waktu dan tanggal rilis data indikator, mata uang yang diperkirakan akan terpengaruh, dan tingkat dampak setiap indikator. Sebagian besar indikator memiliki nilai numerik, yang dapat dinyatakan sebagai persentase atau nilai mata uang. Mereka mencerminkan dampak yang dimiliki atau yang akan ditimbulkan oleh indikator tertentu, baik positif maupun negatif.
Kalender ekonomi forex kami memiliki tiga kolom untuk menunjukkan nilai indikator ekonomi: Sebelumnya, Prakiraan, dan Aktual:
- Data sebelumnya menunjukkan nilai indikator pada periode sebelumnya (biasanya, satu bulan atau satu tahun sebelumnya);
- Prakiraan menunjukkan perkiraan nilai indikator berdasarkan survei terhadap 20-240 ekonom;
- Aktual adalah nilai yang dipublikasikan oleh sumber resmi seperti badan statistik nasional atau pusat analitik.
Kami juga memberikan informasi tambahan tentang indikator spesifik dan grafik yang menunjukkan perubahan nilai menurut bulan atau tahun – klik indikator yang Anda minati untuk mempelajari lebih lanjut.
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Bagaimana cara membaca kalender ekonomi?
Terkadang jumlah peristiwa ekonomi yang terjadi saat ini bisa sangat banyak. Jadi, pertama-tama, pastikan untuk menggunakan filter untuk melihat indikator paling relevan untuk trading Forex Anda. Misalnya, Anda dapat memilih mata uang yang Anda rencanakan untuk diperdagangkan atau dampak indikatornya.
Di bagian atas kalender trading Forex kami, pilih zona waktu yang paling cocok.
Gunakan nilai numerik indikator untuk menavigasi perubahan pasar. Inilah sebabnya mengapa perkiraan dan angka rilis aktual sangat penting. Bandingkan angkanya: jika nilai Aktualnya lebih besar dibandingkan prakiraan, ini bagus untuk mata uang dan kemungkinan akan naik harganya; jika nilai Aktualnya lebih rendah dari Prakiraan, berarti akan turun.
Anda dapat mengaplikasikan logika yang serupa untuk melihat nilai Sebelumnya dan Prakiraan bahkan sebelum data dirilis, tapi berhati-hatilah – prakiraan selalu hanya menunjukkan data awal dan angka sebenarnya mungkin berbeda secara drastis.
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Ada indikator ekonomi apa saja yang tersedia?
Indikator ekonomi adalah peristiwa ekonomi utama yang digunakan untuk menafsirkan peluang investasi dalam trading Forex. Biasanya peristiwa ekonomi makro yang mempengaruhi mata uang dan harga saham.
Indikatornya bisa 'tmemimpin/leading' (memprediksi perubahan yang akan datang), 'bertepatan/coincident' (menunjukkan keadaan ekonomi saat ini di area tertentu) dan 'tertinggal/lagging' (mengkonfirmasi pola dan tren).
Indikator ekonomi top:
- Kurva Imbal Hasil AS – menunjukkan rasio antara tagihan perbendaharaan (Treasury bills) jangka pendek dan obligasi perbendaharaan (Treasury bonds) jangka panjang. Indikator tersebut berhasil memprediksi delapan resesi besar dalam beberapa tahun terakhir.
- PDB (Produk Domestik Bruto) – merupakan salah satu metrik paling penting dari kesehatan ekonomi. Ini adalah indikator yang tertinggal, jadi ini menunjukkan apa yang telah terjadi, tetapi bisa menjadi penanda bagus dari resesi yang akan datang.
- Tingkat Pengangguran – ini adalah persentase orang yang mencari pekerjaan dan akan menunjukkan seberapa sehat ketenagakerjaan dan juga perekonomiannya secara umum.
- Suku Bunga – adalah indikator tertinggal lainnya yang menunjukkan pertumbuhan ekonomi. Ini dapat mempengaruhi PDB dan inflasi, jadi waspadalah terhadap dua hal tersebut.
Ini hanyalah beberapa dari sekian indikator penting. Pastikan untuk mengikuti rencana trading harian kami dari para analis FBS untuk mempelajari lebih lanjut tentang berita trading terkini dan bagaimana hal itu akan mempengaruhi trading Forex Anda.
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Bagaimana trading saat rilis berita?
Peristiwa keuangan biasanya dijadwalkan sebelumnya. Biasanya ada prediksi menjelang rilis (kolom Prakiraan pada kalender berita Forex kami) tentang bagaimana mereka akan mempengaruhi pasar. Beberapa trader memilih untuk membuka posisi tergantung pada ekspektasi mereka terhadap laporan indikator ekonomi: jika mereka mengharapkan indikator tertentu untuk menaikkan mata uang, mereka akan membelinya dan begitu pula sebaliknya. Sedangkan sebagian trader lainnya tidak menyukai pergerakan harga yang cepat yang mungkin terjadi saat indikator dirilis, jadi mereka menghindari penggunaan kalender FX dan trading berdasarkan berita.
Ada banyak strategi trading berita: Anda harus menggunakan strategi yang menurut Anda paling sesuai dengan gaya trading Anda. FBS, selain menyediakan semua layanan yang diperlukan untuk trading, juga memiliki semua informasi penting untuk kebutuhan setiap trader. Periksa seksi berita kami untuk mengetahui kemungkinan pergerakan pasar.
Bahkan jika Anda bukan tipe orang yang trading berdasarkan berita, Anda tetap harus memeriksa kalender ekonomi trading atau membaca tentang peristiwa ekonomi saat ini secara teratur karena kemungkinan besar akan mempengaruhi volatilitas pasar.
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Apakah kalender ekonomi diperbarui secara real-time?
Kalender peristiwa ekonomi utama kami diperbarui secara otomatis saat laporan keluar. FBS hadir menyediakan pembaruan kalender ekonomi secara tepat waktu, tetapi kami tidak dapat dimintai pertanggungjawaban atas penundaan apa pun karena arus peristiwa berita trading yang terkadang tidak moderat.
Kalender Ekonomi
Daftar berita ekonomi yang penting
Waktu
Dampak
Mata uang
Peristiwa
Sebelumnya
Ramalan
Sebenarnya
Apr 30, 2024
00:01
AUD
CoreLogic Dwelling Prices MoM
{previous}
0.6%
{forecast}
{actual}
In Australia, the CoreLogic Home Value Index aims to measure month to month movements in the value of Australian housing markets. Rather than relying solely on transacted sale prices to provide a measure of housing market conditions, the CoreLogic Home Value Index is based on a ‘hedonic’ methodology which includes the attributes of properties that are transacting as part of the analysis. The Home Values Index provides monthly capital growth measurements across three broad housing types: detached houses, units and a combined dwellings index that includes both houses and units. The Index results are released on the last working day of each month and are available on a subscription basis.
01:00
NZD
ANZ Business Confidence
{previous}
22.9
{forecast}
{actual}
In New Zealand, the business confidence index is designed to provide a snapshot of business opinions regarding the expected future state of their business and economy overall. The survey covers around 700 respondents. The Net index is calculated by subtracting the percentage number of businesses that expect that the economic situation improves from the number that expect decline.
01:30
AUD
Retail Sales MoM Prel
{previous}
0.3%
{forecast}
{actual}
In Australia, the Retail sales report provides an aggregated measure of sales of retail goods and services over a specific time period. In Australia, Retail sales are seasonal, volatile and relatively important to the overall economy.
01:30
CNY
NBS Manufacturing PMI
{previous}
50.8
{forecast}
{actual}
In China, the NBS Manufacturing Purchasing Manager Index measures the performance of the manufacturing sector and is derived from a survey of more large-scale, state-owned companies. The Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index is based on five individual indexes with the following weights: New Orders (30 percent), Output (25 percent), Employment (20 percent), Suppliers’ Delivery Times (15 percent) and Stock of Items Purchased (10 percent), with the Delivery Times index inverted so that it moves in a comparable direction. A reading above 50 indicates an expansion of the manufacturing sector compared to the previous month; below 50 represents a contraction; while 50 indicates no change.
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01:30
CNY
NBS Non Manufacturing PMI
{previous}
53.0
{forecast}
{actual}
In China, the Non-Manufacturing purchasing managers index survey is based on data collected from a representative panel of 1200 enterprises from the non-manufacturing sector. The survey includes ten questions on business activity, new orders, new export orders, in hand orders index, stock, intermediate input price, subscription price, employment, supplier delivery time, and business activities expectation. For each question, the diffusion index is calculated. As there’s no integrated PMI, the business activity index is usually used to reflect the overall changes in non-manufacturing sector. A PMI reading above 50 percent indicates expansion from the previous month, while below 50 indicates contraction.
01:30
AUD
Housing Credit MoM
{previous}
0.4%
{forecast}
{actual}
In Australia, housing credit refers to the month-over-month change of credit extended to the economy's private sector for housing expenditures. It includes securitisations.
01:30
AUD
Private Sector Credit MoM
{previous}
0.5%
{forecast}
{actual}
In Australia, private sector credit refers to the month-over-month change of credit extended to the economy's private sector for housing, personal and business expenditures. It includes securitizations.
01:30
AUD
Private Sector Credit YoY
{previous}
5.0%
{forecast}
{actual}
In Australia, private sector credit refers to the month-over-month change of credit extended to the economy's private sector for housing, personal and business expenditures. It includes securitizations.
01:30
CNY
NBS General PMI
{previous}
52.7
{forecast}
{actual}
In China, the NBS Comprehensive Purchasing Manager Index measures the performance of the manufacturing and non-manufacturing sectors. A reading above 50 indicates an expansion of the overall economic trend compared to the previous month; below 50 represents a contraction; while 50 indicates no change.
01:45
CNY
Caixin Manufacturing PMI
{previous}
51.1
{forecast}
{actual}
In China, the Caixin Manufacturing PMI Purchasing Managers' Index measures the performance of the manufacturing sector and is derived from a survey of private 430 industrial companies. The Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index is based on five individual indexes with the following weights: New Orders (30 percent), Output (25 percent), Employment (20 percent), Suppliers’ Delivery Times (15 percent) and Stock of Items Purchased (10 percent), with the Delivery Times index inverted so that it moves in a comparable direction. A reading above 50 indicates an expansion of the manufacturing sector compared to the previous month; below 50 represents a contraction; while 50 indicates no change.
02:00
SGD
Bank Lending
{previous}
S$801.5B
{forecast}
{actual}
In Singapore, bank lending measures the change in the total value of outstanding bank loans and advances issued to consumers and businesses.
05:00
SGD
Business Confidence
{previous}
10
{forecast}
{actual}
In Singapore, the Survey of Business Expectations of the Manufacturing Sector covers around 410 manufacturing firms. These companies are asked to assess their expectation of general business conditions, output and employment for the next six months. Provided responses are then weighted by their contribution to employment and value added. The indicator is computed as the difference between the weighted percentage of positive assessments and the weighted percentage of negative responses. The index varies on a scale of -100 to 100; a value of -100 indicates extreme lack of confidence, 0 neutrality and 100 extreme confidence.
05:00
JPY
Housing Starts YoY
{previous}
-8.2%
{forecast}
{actual}
In Japan, housing starts refers to the year-on-year change in volume of new housing construction started.
05:00
JPY
Construction Orders YoY
{previous}
-11%
{forecast}
{actual}
In Japan, construction orders data refer to the value of new orders for construction work received during the month by 50 major constructors. Figures refer to the value of original contracts and construction for own use but not the value of subcontracted orders.
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05:00
SGD
MAS 12-Week Bill Auction
{previous}
3.92%
{forecast}
{actual}
05:00
SGD
MAS 4-Week Bill Auction
{previous}
3.96%
{forecast}
{actual}
05:30
EUR
Household Consumption MoM
{previous}
0%
{forecast}
{actual}
In France, household consumption refers to household expenditure on goods only, providing a short-term information of household consumption behavior relevant for economic analysis. Household consumption expenditure on goods accounted in 2010 for nearly 95 percent of total effective consumption in current euros and accounted for 50 percent of household consumption expenditure on goods and services.
05:30
EUR
GDP Growth Rate YoY Prel
{previous}
0.7%
{forecast}
{actual}
France is the seventh largest economy in the world and the second largest in the Euro Area. France has a large and diversified industrial and agricultural base which includes aircraft, military equipment, perfumes, pharmaceuticals, wine, beef and wheat production. With at least 82 million foreign tourists per year, France is the most visited country in the world and maintains the third largest income in the world from tourism. Services are the biggest sector of the economy (79 percent of total GDP) while industry accounts for 19 percent. Agriculture contributes 2 percent to GDP, yet France is the second largest exporter of agricultural products in the world.
05:30
EUR
GDP Growth Rate QoQ Prel
{previous}
0.1%
{forecast}
{actual}
France is the seventh largest economy in the world and the second largest in the Euro Area. the biggest sector of the economy is household consumption (55 percent) followed by government expenditure (24 percent) and gross fixed capital formation (22 percent). Exports of goods and services account for 29 percent of GDP while imports account for 31 percent, subtracting 2 percent from total GDP.
06:00
EUR
Retail Sales YoY
{previous}
-2.7%
{forecast}
{actual}
In Germany, the year-over-year change in Retail sales compares the aggregated sales of retail goods and services during a certain month to the same month a year ago.
